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Changing Population · National

Japan

A super-aged society: the population is both old and falling.

How this page works

Six sections are filled in: the parts that are stable and factual. Four are yours — evidence, perspectives, evaluation and the current connection. Those four are where the marks are, and they are deliberately empty. A case study only counts once you have completed them.

↧ Download the Japan template Word · ready to fill in · the six given sections already completed
§ 01

The ten-part record

01 · Location Filled in for you

Japan
36.2°N 138.3°E · scale: National

See this case in context on the case study map.

02 · Geographic context Filled in for you

A wealthy, highly urbanised archipelago with very low fertility, very high life expectancy and historically restrictive immigration. Rural depopulation runs alongside continued concentration in the Tokyo region.

03 · Processes Filled in for you

What is changing here, and the mechanisms driving it.

  • Sustained below-replacement fertility
  • Rising life expectancy extending the older cohort
  • Internal migration concentrating young people in cities
  • Rural depopulation and service withdrawal
04 · Evidence You build this

Find these, and write the year beside every figure. A statistic without a date is not evidence.

  • Percentage of the population aged 65 and over
  • Total fertility rate, with the year
  • Dependency ratio, and how it has moved
  • Net migration figures
Your figures go here
05 · Stakeholders Filled in for you

Who is affected, and separately, who holds the decision-making power.

  • Older citizens dependent on pension and care systems
  • Working-age taxpayers carrying the dependency burden
  • Rural municipalities losing viability
  • Employers facing labour shortages

Named above as a starting list. For each one, add what they actually want, and note where two of them want incompatible things.

06 · Perspectives You build this

Find two sources that disagree about this case — not two summaries of the same view. Record who each is, what they claim, and what interest they have. A perspective without a holder is not a perspective.

Your notes go here
07 · Concepts Filled in for you

Which of the six apply here, and what each one reveals.

  • Process. Ageing is the outcome of two trends meeting, not one.
  • Possibility. Policy options exist; none has reversed the trend.
  • Scale. A national average concealing severe regional depopulation.
08 · Evaluation You build this

How significant is this? How effective was any response? What are the limitations of your evidence? What else could explain the pattern? Reach a judgement and defend it.

Your notes go here
09 · Current connection You build this

One dated development from the last twelve months. Does it strengthen, weaken or complicate the case as recorded above? Update this every time you revisit the case.

Your notes go here
10 · Exam use Filled in for you

Ageing populations, dependency ratios, and the consequences of very low fertility.

Now go and build the other four

Reading this page is not the same as having a case study. Take the template, find the evidence, and fill in sections 4, 6, 8 and 9 in your own words.

↧ Download the template Or take the blank version for a case of your own
§ 02

Where to look

Start here. Prefer the organisation that produced the data over anyone summarising it.

Links checked 27 August 2026 · external links open in a new tab

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